Market News
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Euro: Domestic demand resilience supports EUR – BNY
BNY’s Geoff Yu highlights European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde’s warning that Europe’s post-war growth model is eroding as global trade fragments and cheap energy fades.
Canada: EU protectionist shift challenges diversification – NBC
National Bank of Canada’s (NBC) Angelo Katsoras argues that Canada’s push to diversify exports away from the United States (US) toward the European Union (EU) faces growing obstacles as EU industrial policy turns more protectionist.
Japanese Yen gains as US Dollar retreats ahead of FOMC Minutes
USD/JPY edges lower on Wednesday as the US Dollar (USD) loses momentum and retreats toward the June lows touched earlier this week. At the time of writing, the pair trades around 159.10, down 0.32% on the day.
US Dollar: Fed minutes watched as rate doubts grow – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Antje Praefcke says markets will scrutinize the latest Fed minutes for clues on how close policymakers remain to another rate hike after weaker US labour and inflation data reduced expectations for a hike by year-end.
Indonesian Rupiah: Policy continuity supports currency – Societe Generale
Societe Generale analysts Galvin Chia and Kunal Kundu note that Bank Indonesia kept the BI rate at 5.75%, with deposit and lending facility rates unchanged, reinforcing Rupiah stability and inflation control.
Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD bounces to $4,370, but upside momentum is fading
Gold (XAU/USD) trades moderately higher on Wednesday and returns to the $4,370 area, after finding buyers near the $4,300 area on Tuesday.
WTI Price Forecast: Needs decisive break above $85 for fresh advance
West Texas Intermediate (WTI), futures on NYMEX, trade 0.55% higher at around $84.80 during the European trading session on Wednesday.
Silver has rebounded to $63, but inflationary risks hold buyers back
Silver (XAG/USD) stabilizes around $63.45 on Wednesday, up 0.16% on the day at the time of writing. The white metal is attempting to regain its footing after hitting an intraday low of $62.19, initially extending the pullback that followed Tuesday’s rejection from the $66.50 area.
British Pound: Carry appeal keeps Sterling resilient as BoE stays on hold – ING
ING’s Chris Turner, citing UK economist James Smith, notes that July United Kingdom (UK) Consumer Price Index (CPI) had limited impact on EUR/GBP, with benign food inflation and only a modest uptick in the Bank of England’s core services measure to 3.8%.
Gold approaches $4,500 as US Dollar and Treasury yields tumble, FOMC Minutes in focus
Gold (XAU/USD) rallies on Wednesday as a softer US Dollar (USD) and a sharp pullback in long-term US Treasury yields help the metal break above its week-old trading range and climb to its highest level since June 4. At the time of writing, XAU/USD trades around $4,490, up more than 3.5% on the day.
US Dollar: Exposure normalizes as real rates fall – BNY
BNY’s Geoff Yu highlights that international investors are aggressively cutting Dollar exposure as real-yield support erodes following the July FOMC meeting. The bank sees the Dollar decline as a normalization of previously extreme U.S. asset holdings rather than a collapse in U.S. exceptionalism.
South Africa Retail Sales (YoY) dipped from previous 2.3%Â to 1.6% in June
South Africa Retail Sales (YoY) dipped from previous 2.3%Â to 1.6% in June
United States MBA Mortgage Applications: -0.4% (August 14) vs previous 3.6%
United States MBA Mortgage Applications: -0.4% (August 14) vs previous 3.6%