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The Dow Jones Industrial Average lets refiners price the war
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) trades near 53,550 on Monday, down close to 200 points and roughly 1,200 beneath the record printed on August 5, on the day the 60-day negotiating window that was meant to end the war over the Strait of Hormuz lapses with nothing agreed to replace it.
WTI Oil climbs above $82 as Washington-Tehran standoff reignites supply concerns
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) US Oil advances on Monday and trades around $82.10 at the time of writing, up 0.68% on the day. Oil prices remain supported by the deadlock between the United States (US) and Iran, which keeps concerns about Oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz elevated.
British Pound edges higher as traders await UK jobs and CPI data
The Pound Sterling (GBP) registers modest gains of 0.14% on Monday against the US Dollar (USD) as investors digest softer-than-expected US inflation data and brace for the release of crucial UK jobs and inflation data. The GBP/USD pair trades at 1.3552 after hitting a three-month high of 1.3571.
Japanese Yen struggles despite rising bond yields and BoJ hike bets
USD/JPY rebounds on Monday after coming under selling pressure earlier in the day, as the Japanese Yen (JPY) struggles to gain traction despite a weaker US Dollar (USD). At the time of writing, the pair trades around 159.25, recovering from an intraday low of 158.85.
Silver accelerates above $66 as Fed expectations shift
Silver (XAG/USD) extends its advance on Monday and trades around $66.30 at the time of writing, up 2.47% on the day.
Australian Dollar climbs to two-month highs amid a soft US Dollar
AUD/USD extended its recovery on Monday, pushing to fresh 10-week highs and holding near the 0.7100 zone. At the time of writing, the pair is 0.40% up for the day, driven almost entirely by a broadly weak US Dollar (USD) rather than anything positive out of Australia.
British Pound: Bullish bias with data risk ahead against US Dollar – Scotiabank
Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret note British Pound (GBP) is underperforming core European peers but has still reached a three‑month high against the US Dollar (USD).
China: High-tech sectors cushion broader slowdown – ING
According to ING’s Lynn Song, Chinese industrial production growth slowed more than expected in July but remains relatively resilient compared with other domestic indicators.
US Dollar: Faces renewed downside risk – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Volkmar Baur notes that the US Dollar (USD) has weakened against the Euro (EUR) as markets steadily scale back expectations for further Federal Reserve (Fed) tightening relative to other G10 central banks.
Gold: Investors extend longs but hedge risks – TD Securities
TD Securities strategists note that money managers sharply increased long Gold exposure as modest inflation, soft United States (US) employment data and expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will not hike rates this year weigh on the US Dollar (USD).
Euro: Bullish momentum eyes mid‑1.17s against US Dollar – Scotiabank
Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret report the Euro (EUR) is firming as Eurozone economic resilience and narrowing yield spreads versus the US support EUR/USD.
Canadian Dollar: Inflation steady near target – RBC
Royal Bank of Canada (RBC) economists Abbey Xu and Nathan Janzen note that Canadian inflation rose to 3% year-over-year in July, mainly on higher energy costs, while underlying measures like CPI-trim and CPI-median stayed near the 2% target.
United States NAHB Housing Market Index came in at 35, above forecasts (33) in August
United States NAHB Housing Market Index came in at 35, above forecasts (33) in August