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Forecasting the upcoming week: Warsh's Jackson Hole debut and US inflation test a soft US Dollar
The US Dollar Index (DXY) ended the week near even with Thursday, holding near 98.80. Like Thursday, DXY traded down to the 98.50s before recovering later in the session.
Thai Baht: Extended policy pause expected from Bank of Thailand – DBS
DBS economists Taimur Baig and Radhika Rao expect the Bank of Thailand (BoT) to keep its policy rate unchanged at 1.00% in August, extending the pause after June’s unanimous decision.
Japanese Yen neutral as it meets resilient US data
The US Dollar (USD) is muted against the Japanese Yen (JPY). USD/JPY traded in the low 159.00s at the time of writing on Friday.
United States CFTC Oil NC Net Positions up to 122.1K from previous 99.2K
United States CFTC Oil NC Net Positions up to 122.1K from previous 99.2K
Eurozone CFTC EUR NC Net Positions: €-59.1K vs €-60K
Eurozone CFTC EUR NC Net Positions: €-59.1K vs €-60K
United States CFTC S&P 500 NC Net Positions declined to $-10.6K from previous $11.3K
United States CFTC S&P 500 NC Net Positions declined to $-10.6K from previous $11.3K
United States CFTC Gold NC Net Positions increased to $222.2K from previous $217.9K
United States CFTC Gold NC Net Positions increased to $222.2K from previous $217.9K
United Kingdom CFTC GBP NC Net Positions: £-54.6K vs £-56.2K
United Kingdom CFTC GBP NC Net Positions: £-54.6K vs £-56.2K
Japan CFTC JPY NC Net Positions: ¥-52.9K vs previous ¥-42.1K
Japan CFTC JPY NC Net Positions: ¥-52.9K vs previous ¥-42.1K
Australia CFTC AUD NC Net Positions dipped from previous $-39.2KÂ to $-44.2K
Australia CFTC AUD NC Net Positions dipped from previous $-39.2KÂ to $-44.2K
Malaysian Ringgit: Supported by strong fundamentals against US Dollar – OCBC
OCBC’s Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong stress that the Malaysian Ringgit (MYR) remains relatively well supported by a softer US Dollar (USD) and robust domestic fundamentals.
Singapore: inflation and production outlook – DBS
DBS economists Taimur Baig and Radhika Rao project Singapore’s headline and core inflation will rise in July to 2.4% and 2.3% year-on-year, respectively, driven by higher energy and food costs.
Silver Price Forecast: XAG bulls test $70 as rally extends
Silver (XAG/USD) prices rally for the third straight day on Friday, up more than 2% and, for the week, gains over 7.40%, as a firm US Dollar (USD) is not an excuse for precious metals buyers, who are choosing flight-to-quality over haven demand due to the difficult US fiscal stance.