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Silver Price Forecasts: XAG/USD edges up above $58.00 as the US Dollar trims gains
Silver (XAG/USD) edges up on Friday's early European trading session, returning to levels above $58.00 as the US Dollar trims some gains.
Brent: War premium drives triple-digit prices – UOB
UOB Global Economics & Markets Research highlights that escalating US-Iran tensions and Houthi attacks on Red Sea shipping have driven Brent crude above US$100 for the first time since May, with Asia trading near US$101.
Germany’s flash Manufacturing PMI unexpectedly rises strongly to 52.2 vs. 50.1 estimates
German flash HCOB Composite PMI returns to the expansion trajectory in July after declining in June. Preliminary figures show that the overall business activity expanded to 51.2. The Composite PMI was seen arriving at 49.8 from 49.5 in June.
Forex Today: New wave of US tariffs, deepening Middle East conflict keep markets on edge
Here is what you need to know on Friday, July 24:
Equities: Oil shock and tech earnings hit equities – Deutsche Bank
Deutsche Bank strategists highlight that the S&P 500 and Nasdaq fell sharply as surging Oil prices and stagflation fears weighed on risk assets. Weak post‑earnings reactions in Tesla and Alphabet dragged the Mag 7 index to its biggest daily loss since 2025.
Russian Ruble: CBR seen holding rate despite pressure to cut – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Tatha Ghose expects Russia’s central bank to keep its key rate at 14.25%, despite political and economic pressure for a cut. Surging inflation expectations, higher Oil and commodity prices, and accelerating Consumer Price Index (CPI) argue against easing.
British Pound steadies against Japanese Yen following outperformance in UK Retail Sales
GBP/JPY remains calm after six days of losses, trading around 218.20 during the early European hours on Friday. The currency cross holds its ground as the British Pound (GBP) receives support from the release of stronger-than-expected UK Retail Sales data.
USD/CAD Price Forecast: Softens below 1.4100, but bullish outlook stays intact above key support
The USD/CAD pair trades in negative territory near 1.4075 during the early European trading hours on Friday. Escalating conflicts in the Middle East boost crude oil prices, supporting the commodity-linked Canadian Dollar (CAD) against the US Dollar (USD). Â
ECB's Kocher: Don't see evidence of second-round effects
European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council member Martin Kocher said on Friday that he doesn’t see any hard evidence of second-round effects, but the central bank will act if the inflation outlook deteriorates.Â
Euro extends rally against British Pound despite strong UK Retail Sales data
The Euro (EUR) rallies further against the British Pound (GBP) as the latter weakens despite upbeat United Kingdom (UK) Retail Sales data for June. The EUR/GBP pair jumps to near 0.8550 in the European trading session on Friday, the highest level seen in two weeks.
US Dollar Index: Higher yields and FOMC focus lift DXY – MUFG
Lloyd Chan at MUFG notes that US rate expectations remain volatile, with markets now pricing further Federal Reserve (Fed) tightening this year. Rising Treasury yields have pushed the US Dollar (USD) higher, lifting the US Dollar Index (DXY).
Gold: Oil spike caps rebound and keeps risks two-way – OCBC
OCBC’s Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong note Gold has retreated back toward USD 4,040/4,050 after briefly trading above 4,160 as Brent surged past USD100 and the Dollar and US yields climbed.
British Pound retreats from 1.3340 as bright UK data fails to offset risk aversion
The British Pound (GBP) remains depressed near three-week lows against the US Dollar (USD) on Friday, with upside attempts capped below 1.3340, and on track for a 1% weekly decline.