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WTI jumps over 6% as Strait of Hormuz reopening remains uncertain
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) jumps more than 6% on Monday, erasing last week’s losses as uncertainty over when the Strait of Hormuz will reopen keeps supply concerns and the geopolitical risk premium firmly in place. At the time of writing, WTI trades around $81.15 per barrel, near a one-week high.
Breaking: Iran won't negotiate with the US until Trump's term is done
In a major setback to efforts to reopen the Strait of Hormuz and cool Middle East tensions, Iran ruled out any future negotiations with United States (US) President Donald Trump, according to Iranian outlets and a X post by an adviser to Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf.
LatAm FX: Carry window opens with caveats – BNY
BNY’s Geoff Yu and David Tam argue that a more dovish Federal Reserve (Fed) and weaker United States (US) labor data have improved conditions for Latin American (LatAm) carry trades, but broken correlations with commodities and lingering inflation risks limit momentum.
US President Trump says Iran should pay for regional damage
United States (US) President Donald Trump used a post on his Truth Social platform to push back on Iran's demands for war reparations, arguing that Tehran, not Washington, should carry the bill for the damage and lives lost across the region.
Gold edges higher as Hormuz delays, US CPI keep traders cautious
Gold (XAU/USD) price edges up at the beginning of the week as the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz faces delays due to demands from Iran to the US, and is capped by the modest strength of the Greenback, with traders eyeing the release of crucial US inflation data.
Japanese Yen weakens as surprise current account deficit weighs
USD/JPY advances 0.73% on Monday and trades around 158.95 at the time of writing.
The Canadian Dollar takes back two months in ten sessions
The Canadian Dollar trades at its strongest against the US Dollar since the second week of June, with the rate holding just above 1.3900 into the afternoon.
Dow Jones Industrial Average begins pricing a 2029 war premium
The Dow Jones Industrial Average trades near 53,900 on Monday, lower by three tenths of a percent and pinned to the bottom of a session that has covered barely 200 points, the narrowest daily bar in weeks. Every price of the day sits inside Friday's range, and Friday's sat inside Thursday's.
British Pound climbs as Hormuz talks stall, US CPI in focus
The Pound Sterling (GBP) advances during the North American session on Monday, up 0.2% as markets digest developments in the Middle East and await crucial inflation data in the United States (US). The GBP/USD pair trades at 1.3520 after bouncing off daily lows of 1.3483.
Emerging Markets: Selectivity key as Fed path clouds – HSBC
HSBC Asset Management notes that Emerging Market local-currency bonds have delivered strong returns over the past four years, supported by credible policies and attractive real yields, but year-to-date performance has softened as US Treasury yields rose and EM-US real rate differentials narrowed.
Denmark: Tax cuts keep inflation below the euro area – Nordea
Nordea economist Jan Størup Nielsen notes that Danish inflation eased slightly in July, with headline consumer prices up 1.7% year-over-year and core inflation steady at 2.3%.
USD/CAD Price Forecast: Bearish pressure builds below 1.4000
USD/CAD trades on the back foot on Monday even as the US Dollar (USD) regains some ground after weakening last week following softer-than-expected US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data. Attention now turns to Wednesday’s US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report.
Eurozone: Resilient data but growth risks weigh on Euro – Rabobank
Rabobank's Senior FX Strategist Jane Foley notes Eurozone Q2 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data surprised to the upside, suggesting resilience despite higher energy prices and supply disruptions.