Market News
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Eurozone Trade Balance s.a. increased to €1.8B in June from previous €-5B
Eurozone Trade Balance s.a. increased to €1.8B in June from previous €-5B
Eurozone Employment Change (QoQ) meets expectations (0.1%) in 2Q
Eurozone Employment Change (QoQ) meets expectations (0.1%) in 2Q
Eurozone Employment Change (YoY) unchanged at 0.5% in 2Q
Eurozone Employment Change (YoY) unchanged at 0.5% in 2Q
US Dollar Index Price Forecast: DXY declines to 99.75-99.70 amid receding Fed hike bets
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback against a basket of currencies, continues to lose ground through the first half of the European session on Friday and retreats further from a two-week high, touched the previous day.
GBP/USD Price Forecast: Picks up above 1.3500 amid generalised US Dollar weakness
The British Pound (GBP) pares losses against a weaker US Dollar (USD) on Friday, as a run of soft US inflation figures and growing signs of labour market deterioration have cast doubt about the odds for an immediate Federal Reserve (Fed) rate hike.
British Pound: Growth resilience supports gains against US Dollar – MUFG
MUFG’s Lee Hardman reports the British Pound (GBP) is the best performing major currency in August, with GBP/USD back above 1.3500. The United Kingdom (UK) economy is proving resilient to the energy price shock linked to the US-Iran conflict, with Q2 GDP up 0.4% after 0.6% in Q1.
US Dollar: Carry trades supported as Fed seen on hold – OCBC
OCBC’s Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong note that softer United States (US) Producer Price Index (PPI) and lower US Treasury yields have led markets to scale back expectations of a September Federal Reserve (Fed) hike, limiting US Dollar (USD) upside.
Euro flattens against Japanese Yen, ECB-BoJ to raise rates in September
The Euro (EUR) trades flat at around 183.85 against the Japanese Yen (JPY) during the European trading session on Friday. The cross consolidates while investors seek fresh cues regarding whether there will be more United States (US)-Japan joint intervention to prop up the Japanese currency.
Japanese Yen: Shifting rate expectations and currency support – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Volkmar Baur notes that Japanese government support for an imminent Bank of Japan rate hike has reinforced market expectations rather than surprised them. Probabilities now favor a hike as early as September, with October fully priced and another move in December possible.
China M2 Money Supply (YoY) registered at 7.7%, below expectations (7.9%) in July
China M2 Money Supply (YoY) registered at 7.7%, below expectations (7.9%) in July
China New Loans fell from previous 1610B to -340B in July
China New Loans fell from previous 1610B to -340B in July
Hong Kong SAR Gross Domestic Product (QoQ) in line with forecasts (-0.6%) in 2Q
Hong Kong SAR Gross Domestic Product (QoQ) in line with forecasts (-0.6%) in 2Q
Hong Kong SAR Gross Domestic Product (YoY) meets forecasts (4.3%) in 2Q
Hong Kong SAR Gross Domestic Product (YoY) meets forecasts (4.3%) in 2Q

