Market News
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Bank of Canada: Tariff deal unlikely to accelerate hikes – TD Securities
TD Securities’ Robert Both expects the Bank of Canada to remain cautious even if a tariff agreement is reached. The Bank wants more data on how lower tariffs affect exports and output, with key trade figures not available until November.
Euro treads water vs Yen as Japanese inflation, European PMIs offset each other
EUR/JPY trades around 185.70 on Friday at the time of writing, virtually unchanged on the day. The Japanese Yen (JPY) gains some support from firmer Japanese inflation data, but the move is offset by resilience in the Euro (EUR) following better-than-expected activity indicators in the Eurozone.
European Central Bank: Structural LTROs could ease funding pressure - Rabobank
Rabobank's Bas van Geffen, analyses how forthcoming structural Longer-term Refinancing Operations (LTROs) could complement the European Central Bank's (ECB) standard refinancing operations as excess liquidity declines.
British Pound eases as UK sales drop, US services beat forecasts
The Pound Sterling (GBP) loses some ground against the US Dollar (USD) on Friday, though it remains poised to end the week with gains of over 0.60%, even as UK Retail Sales disappointed investors and US business activity improved in August.
Euro area: Manufacturing strengthens as services stall – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Senior Economist Dr. Vincent Stamer notes that Euro area business sentiment has stabilized at a moderate level, with the composite PMI edging up from 52.0 to 52.1 in August, slightly above consensus.
United Kingdom: Services-led growth and price risks – Nomura
Nomura’s European Economics team highlights that UK composite output PMI rose to 52.5 in August, with services offsetting weaker manufacturing. GfK consumer confidence improved to its highest level in two years, supporting activity.
EUR/GBP slips as strong PMIs cancel out and Iran signals de-escalation
The Euro (EUR) is falling against the British Pound (GBP). EUR/GBP held the mid-0.8500s on Friday, hovering just below the 0.8570 area, even after a strong round of August flash Purchasing Managers Indexes (PMIs) on both sides of the cross.
Euro: PMI strength supports against US Dollar – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad reports EUR/USD is firmer on broad US Dollar (USD) weakness and stronger-than-expected Eurozone August Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data. Elias Haddad highlights the composite PMI at a nine-month high, driven by manufacturing.
Japanese Yen strengthens against US Dollar as inflation backs BoJ rate hike bets
USD/JPY trades around 158.85 on Friday at the time of writing, edging lower after rebounding from the 158.00 level on Thursday.
Canada: Q2 GDP rebound faces future headwinds – RBC
Royal Bank of Canada economists Nathan Janzen and Abbey Xu expect Canadian gross domestic product data for June and Q2 to confirm a strong rebound after winter stagnation.
Eurozone Consumer Confidence above forecasts (-16.3) in August: Actual (-15.5)
Eurozone Consumer Confidence above forecasts (-16.3) in August: Actual (-15.5)
Japanese Yen: Soft Dollar and BoJ outlook shift near-term tone – Scotiabank
Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret point out that Japan’s July Consumer Price Index (CPI) and stronger August Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data support expectations for Bank of Japan (BoJ) tightening, with about 20 bps of hikes priced in swaps.
United States S&P Global Manufacturing PMI came in at 53.2, below expectations (53.9) in August
United States S&P Global Manufacturing PMI came in at 53.2, below expectations (53.9) in August