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Japan: BoJ path questioned on weak demand – Societe Generale
Societe Generale economists Reo Sakida and Jin Kenzaki say Japan’s 2Q GDP data were weaker than expected, with consumption and capex both disappointing.
EUR/JPY Price Forecast: Bulls eye 185.00 resistance area
The Euro (EUR) crawls higher for the third consecutive day on Monday, against a weak Yen (JPY), weighed down by downbeat Japanese Gross Domestic Product (GDP) figures.
Economists agree: Fed to leave interest rates unchanged this year – Reuters poll
A large majority of economists expect the Federal Reserve (Fed) to keep interest rates unchanged in September and for the rest of this year, according to a Reuters poll conducted between August 12 and 17.
Japanese Yen: Intervention risk near 160 highlighted – DBS
Philip Wee of DBS Group Research notes that markets still focus on Japan’s struggle to support the Japanese Yen, while underplaying broader USD implications.
Canadian Dollar gains ground with inflation data set to test BoC outlook
USD/CAD trades around 1.3860 on Monday at the time of writing, down 0.11% on the day. The pair extends its decline as the US Dollar (USD) remains under pressure against the Canadian Dollar (CAD), with investors scaling back expectations of further monetary tightening by the Federal Reserve (Fed).
China: Growth risks rise into H2 – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Dr. Henry Hao highlights that China’s July activity data undershot expectations across industrial output, retail sales and fixed-asset investment, reflecting weather disruptions and a deepening property slump.
Yen retreats below 159.00 against the US Dollar as Japanese GDP disappoints
The Japanese Yen holds marginal gains against the US Dollar (USD) on Wednesday, although the USD/JPY pair has returned to levels above 159.00 during the European session, after hitting daily lows around 158.85.
British Pound: Labour data seen backing BoE hold – TD Securities
TD Securities expects the UK labour market to remain soft but stable in June, with employment rising 100k on a three‑month basis and unemployment edging down to 4.7%. Headline average weekly earnings are forecast to slow to 4.0%, while ex‑bonus pay holds at 3.4%.
Swedish Krona: Riksbank seen on cautious hawkish hold – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad expects the Riksbank to keep its policy rate at 1.75% for a seventh consecutive meeting while leaving the door open to a later hike as inflation runs above projections.
Turkish Lira: Market doubts disinflation and Lira stability – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Tatha Ghose notes that the Central Bank of the Republic of Türkiye's (CBRT) survey shows market participants revising inflation forecasts higher and expecting only gradual rate cuts from current effective levels.
Japanese Yen: BoJ hike expectations support JPY against US Dollar – MUFG
MUFG’s Derek Halpenny and Lee Hardman report that Japanese government bond yields are rising despite weaker-than-expected GDP, as markets focus on prospects for further Bank of Japan rate hikes.
Federal Reserve: Changing communications and higher volatility – TD Securities
TD Securities’ James Rossiter argues that the Federal Reserve is leading a structural shift away from detailed forward guidance and explicit reaction functions, forcing markets to infer policy from incoming data.
British Pound: Data-heavy week risks BoE repricing – ING
Chris Turner at ING notes that a busier United Kingdom (UK) data calendar, including jobs, wages and July Consumer Price Index (CPI), could challenge the 55bp of Bank of England (BoE) tightening still priced in.