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European Central Bank: One more hike base case as data soften – OCBC
OCBC strategists Christopher Wong and Sim Moh Siong note that the European Central Bank's (ECB) June minutes justified the latest rate hike while keeping flexibility on future moves. Since then, Oil prices have fallen sharply and June Consumer Price Index (CPI) surprised on the downside.
China: Growth slowdown with uneven momentum – DBS
DBS economists Radhika Rao and Mo Ji project China’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth to slow from 5.0% year-on-year in Q1 to 4.8% in Q2.
Canada: Labour market steadying with modest improvement – RBC
Royal Bank of Canada (RBC) economist Nathan Janzen notes that Canadian labour markets showed further signs of stabilisation in June, following a stronger improvement in May. Employment rose modestly, while per-worker conditions improved and the unemployment rate edged down to 6.5%.
Euro remains pinned at one-year lows against the British Pound as Euro Area inflation moderates
The Euro (EUR) remains on the defensive against the British Pound (GBP) on Friday, with the EUR/GBP pair unable to take off from one-year lows at the 0.8515 area. Data from Germany and France confirmed that inflationary pressures moderated in June, which added pressure on the common currency.
British Pound: Upside risk toward resistance against US Dollar – UOB
According to UOB’s Quek Ser Leang, GBP/USD’s sharp rebound has left scope to test major resistance at 1.3445, though a clear break is seen as unlikely in the near term. Short-term support lies at 1.3390 and 1.3360.
Forex Today: US Dollar extends correction as US-Iran conflict remains under spotlight
Here is what you need to know on Friday, July 10:
Euro: Narrow path for sustained strength against US Dollar – ING
ING’s Francesco Pesole writes that Middle East tensions have modestly re-tightened EUR/USD short-term swap rate differentials by around 10bp, though the spread remains wider than pre-war levels.
Austria Industrial Production (YoY) climbed from previous 0.6% to 0.7% in May
Austria Industrial Production (YoY) climbed from previous 0.6% to 0.7% in May
Equities: Tech and chips drive relief rally – Deutsche Bank
Deutsche Bank strategists say a strong semiconductor rally and lower oil prices helped lift global equities. The S&P 500 rebounded as investors rotated from defensive sectors into growth and cyclical stocks, while gains in Micron and SK Hynix reinforced confidence in the AI investment cycle.
NZD/USD Price Forecast: Gathers strength above 0.5750, but remains below key technical resistance
The NZD/USD pair trades in positive territory around 0.5775 during the early European session on Friday. The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) gathers strength to its strongest level in three weeks against the US Dollar (USD) on a hawkish rate hike from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ).
France Inflation ex-tobacco (MoM) dipped from previous 0.1%Â to -0.3% in June
France Inflation ex-tobacco (MoM) dipped from previous 0.1%Â to -0.3% in June
France Consumer Price Index (EU norm) (YoY) meets expectations (2%) in June
France Consumer Price Index (EU norm) (YoY) meets expectations (2%) in June
France Consumer Price Index (EU norm) (MoM) in line with forecasts (-0.3%) in June
France Consumer Price Index (EU norm) (MoM) in line with forecasts (-0.3%) in June