Market News
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China: Chinese AI models challenge US-led economics – Deutsche Bank
Deutsche Bank strategists analyses China’s AI (Artificial intelligence) ecosystem, noting that Chinese models are rapidly catching up in capability while being priced near mid-tier US systems.
Argentina Trade Balance (MoM) below forecasts ($2060M) in June: Actual ($2M)
Argentina Trade Balance (MoM) below forecasts ($2060M) in June: Actual ($2M)
Copper: Speculators rebuild longs on tight supply – TD Securities
TD Securities’ commodity strategy team highlights that, after a five‑week reduction in Copper longs, speculators have resumed adding net length, supported by firm Chinese premiums, low arrivals and inventory draws on the LME and SHFE.
Canadian Dollar falls as softer Canadian inflation weighs on the Loonie
USD/CAD trades higher near the 1.4060 area on Monday, recovering from below 1.4000 as the Canadian Dollar (CAD) weakens following softer-than-expected domestic inflation data. The US Dollar Index (DXY) also rises around 0.2% near 101.00, providing additional support to the pair.
British Pound slips as Burnham fiscal pledge fails to lift Sterling
The Pound Sterling reverses course and turns negative on the day as Andy Burnham is named the new Prime Minister and reassures that he will stick to the fiscal rules set by the former Chancellor, Rachel Reeves, who just resigned. The GBP/USD trades at 1.3425, after hitting a daily high of 1.3481.
Australian Dollar holds as PBOC stands firm
AUD/USD trades around the 0.7000 area on Monday, holding near recent highs after recovering from last week’s decline.
UK Chancellor of the Exchequer Rachel Reeves resigns as Andy Burnham reshuffles cabinet
The United Kingdom entered a new period of political uncertainty after Rachel Reeves stepped down as Chancellor of the Exchequer as part of the first cabinet reshuffle led by newly appointed Prime Minister Andy Burnham.
Euro loses momentum as US Dollar recovers from intraday lows
EUR/USD edges lower on Monday, reversing earlier gains as markets swing between risk-on and risk-off sentiment. At the time of writing, the pair trades around 1.1408, easing from an intraday high of 1.1449.
Japanese Yen weakens as renewed Middle East tensions lift US Dollar
USD/JPY trades around 162.55 on Monday at the time of writing, up 0.10% on the day. After an initial pullback in the US Dollar (USD), the pair regains momentum as geopolitical concerns return to the forefront and support the Greenback.
Canadian Dollar: Rate divergence weighs CAD against US Dollar – TD Securities
TD Securities strategists note that softer Canadian Consumer Price Index (CPI) is lifting USD/CAD as rate divergence remains a key driver. They argue broad US Dollar (USD) strength should limit USD/CAD downside below 1.40 and see higher Oil prices as CAD-supportive on crosses but not versus USD.
LatAm FX: Carry supports resilience against US Dollar - BNY
BNY’s Geoff Yu sees Latin American currencies underpinned by strong balance-of-payments positions and attractive carry, even as global equity nerves rise.
Australian Dollar: Carry and growth support potential rebound – HSBC
HSBC strategists argue AUD/USD has room to rise into 2027, supported by Australia’s relatively high cash and government bond yields, which make the Australian Dollar attractive on a carry basis within G10 FX.
Euro: ECB pause seen limiting downside against US Dollar – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad expects the ECB to leave rates at 2.25% this week after June’s 25 bps hike, maintaining a data-dependent stance without new projections.