Market News
Stay on top of the major news, data and analysis moving forex and global financial markets.
Japanese Yen: Energy shock drives weaker currency – MUFG
MUFG’s Lee Hardman highlights that rising Oil and natural gas prices are pressuring the Japanese Yen (JPY), with USD/JPY hitting fresh year-to-date highs above 163.00.
Australian Dollar: RBA tone may turn hawkish – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Volkmar Baur highlights a strong Australian labor market, with 76,000 jobs added and participation back near historic highs, prompting markets to raise the implied probability of an RBA hike to 30%.
US Secretary of State Rubio warns of intensifying military attacks on Iran
United States (US) Secretary of State Marco Rubio warns that military attacks on Iran could intensify further, as the nation is not ready to make a deal.
China FDI - Foreign Direct Investment (YTD) (YoY) up to -5% in June from previous -8.6%
China FDI - Foreign Direct Investment (YTD) (YoY) up to -5% in June from previous -8.6%
British Pound: Sterling to hand back gains – ING
ING analysts Chris Turner, Francesco Pesole and James Smith argue Sterling’s summer strength is driven by positioning, carry and possible M&A flows rather than UK fundamentals.
NZD/USD Price Forecast: Tests levels sub-0.5800 as bulls run out of steam
The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) extends losses for the third consecutive day against the US Dollar (USD) on Thursday, with the NZD/USD pair dipping below 0.5800, after being rejected at the 0.5875 area earlier in the week.
South African Rand: Hawkish SARB could strengthen ZAR – Societe Generale
Societe Generale strategists expect a 25bp rate hike in South Africa after a sharp June inflation surprise, with Headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) at 5.0% and core at 4.1%.
Forex Today: Focus shifts to ECB rate call, while tensions remain high in Middle East
Here is what you need to know on Thursday, July 23:
Australian Dollar remains steady following improved employment data
AUD/USD holds ground after registering minor gains in the previous day, trading around 0.7000 during the European hours on Thursday. The pair remains steady as the Australian Dollar (AUD) moves little following the release of improved Australian employment data.
ECB Press Conference: Lagarde speaks on policy outlook after leaving key rates unchanged
Christine Lagarde, President of the European Central Bank (ECB), explains the ECB's decision to leave key rates unchanged at the July policy meeting and responds to questions from the press.
Japanese Yen: Further losses toward 163.50 against US Dollar – UOB
United Overseas Bank’s Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann note after USD/JPY hit a 40‑year high above 163, now expect intraday consolidation between 162.80 and 163.30 as recent price action offers few fresh clues.
USD/JPY Price Forecast: Remains above 163.00 near fresh 40-year highs
USD/JPY inches higher after posting minor losses in the previous day, trading around 163.20 during the European hours on Thursday. The currency pair is holding a clear bullish bias as spot remains above both the nine-day and 50-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs).
Turkish Lira: Dovish corridor risks for TRY – Commerzbank
Tatha Ghose at Commerzbank expects Central Bank of the Republic of Türkiye (CBRT) to leave the 37% repo rate unchanged, while operationally signaling readiness to normalise the corridor and re-enable weekly repo once war risks ease.