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EUR/USD Price Forecast: Range-bound trade persists below 100-day SMA
EUR/USD fluctuates on Tuesday, holding within the range seen over the past week. At the time of writing, the pair trades around 1.1546, virtually unchanged on the day.
US ADP Employment Change 4-week average drops to 8.25K
Private-sector hiring in the US has further cooled in late July. According to the NER Pulse, the weekly companion to the ADP National Employment Report, companies added an average of 8.25K jobs per week in the four weeks ending July 25.
US Dollar: CPI keeps USD in tight ranges – OCBC
OCBC’s Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong note the US Dollar (USD) softened as Fed hike expectations moderated and the US yield curve steepened.
US Dollar Index Price Forecast: A break above 100.00 would confirm a double bottom
The US Dollar Index (DXY) appreciates for the second consecutive day on Tuesday, favoured by a mix of concerns about the stalled US-Iran negotiations and hawkish Fed speak, which keeps hopes of a September rate hike alive.
US Dollar: Volatility sinks as carry trades hold – ING
ING’s Chris Turner notes that FX volatility is falling as investors appear comfortable with the Federal Reserve holding or potentially tightening rates in September.
Dow Jones futures slip as US-Iran tensions, rate hike fears weigh on sentiment
Dow Jones futures decline by 0.11% to trade around 54,000 during European hours on Tuesday. Meanwhile, S&P 500 futures are steady around 7,770 and Nasdaq 100 futures gain 0.12%, trading near 29,770.
United States Dollar Index consolidates below 100.00 as bulls await US CPI amid Iran risks
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback against a basket of currencies, struggles to capitalize on the previous day's positive move and oscillates in a range during the Asian session on Tuesday.
Fed's Hammack calls for rate hikes, says policy not restrictive enough
Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack crossed the wires on Monday and was hawkish, noting that the current rate is not “meaningfully restricting the economy” and that there is a need for some number of rate hikes.
Dow Jones Industrial Average begins pricing a 2029 war premium
The Dow Jones Industrial Average trades near 53,900 on Monday, lower by three tenths of a percent and pinned to the bottom of a session that has covered barely 200 points, the narrowest daily bar in weeks. Every price of the day sits inside Friday's range, and Friday's sat inside Thursday's.
US Dollar: Positioning-driven softness ahead of CPI – BNY
BNY’s Wee Khoon Chong notes that the US Dollar (USD) has been the weakest G10 currency on iFlow metrics as markets scale back expectations for a September Fed hike.
US Dollar: Higher hurdle for sustained gains – MUFG
MUFG’s Derek Halpenny notes that weaker US jobs data have not triggered a strong reaction in Dollar or rates, as markets await key Consumer Price Index (CPI) releases and another Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) before the September Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC).
US Dollar: Fed pricing shifts with softer data – Deutsche Bank
Deutsche Bank strategists note that Friday’s mixed United States (US) Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report led to a notable repricing of September Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) odds, with futures-implied probability of a hike falling to 44%.
US Dollar: Softer labor data supports downside – BNY
BNY’s Geoff Yu and David Tam note that weaker United States (US) labor data have lowered real-rate expectations and extended the Dollar decline, creating a more supportive environment for risk assets and duration.